As the Miami Heat prepare to open their doors for Media Day on Monday, September 29, and subsequently, training camp on Tuesday, September 30, a palpable sense of uncertainty hangs over the franchise. Following a disappointing 2024-25 season that concluded with their worst regular-season record since 2014-15 (37-45) and a swift playoff exit, the Heat are stepping into a new, albeit familiar, era with numerous pressing questions. This upcoming period is critical for coach Erik Spoelstra and his staff to chart a course forward, especially with significant roster changes and key player absences casting a shadow over expectations for the 2025-26 NBA season.
Entering a Post-Butler Era
For the first time since 2018, the Miami Heat will begin an NBA season without the services of their talismanic star, Jimmy Butler. Butler was traded mid-season after a period of trade speculation and roster uncertainty. His departure marks a significant shift in the team’s identity and competitive aspirations. While Butler’s tenure in Miami was highlighted by two NBA Finals appearances, the team now must redefine its on-court demeanor and leadership without his presence. The question looms large: how will the team’s established ‘Heat Culture’ adapt and manifest without its most vocal and impactful leader?
Herro’s Injury Creates Offensive Void
Adding to the preseason intrigue, All-Star guard Tyler Herro underwent surgery on his left ankle on September 19, 2025, and is expected to miss at least the first month of the regular season. Herro was arguably the Heat’s most crucial offensive engine last season, leading the team in scoring and usage rate. His absence creates an immediate void in Miami’s backcourt and offensive scheme, which ranked 21st in offensive rating last year.
In response, the Heat acquired Norman Powell in a trade from the Los Angeles Clippers. Powell, who averaged 21.8 points per game last season and shot over 40% from three-point range, is expected to slide into Herro’s starting spot. However, questions remain about whether Powell can shoulder the primary offensive load and whether the remaining guards—including Davion Mitchell, Kasparas Jakucionis, and Dru Smith—can sufficiently compensate for Herro’s playmaking and scoring.
Frontcourt Stability and Depth Concerns
The Heat’s frontcourt is anchored by three-time All-Star Bam Adebayo, who recently signed a significant contract extension. Alongside Adebayo, second-year center Kel’el Ware is expected to continue his development and likely start. However, the team’s depth at the center and power forward positions has been a point of concern. Nikola Jovic, who has shown flashes of potential, is also in the mix, but the team did not add a veteran big man this offseason. The limited depth means that any injury to Adebayo or Ware could force players like Keshad Johnson into larger roles, or even small-ball center minutes. The reliance on the health of Adebayo and Ware is a significant worry as training camp opens.
The Terry Rozier Uncertainty
A lingering question mark revolves around guard Terry Rozier. Despite speculation about his future with the team following a difficult 2024-25 season and an ongoing federal gambling investigation, Rozier is expected to report to training camp. He is due to earn $26.6 million in the final year of his contract, and the Heat have reportedly been open to trade discussions. However, they have been hesitant to part with future assets to shed his contract, especially with Herro’s extended absence potentially creating an early-season role for Rozier. His presence, or eventual departure, will be closely monitored.
Youth Movement and Player Development
The Heat’s roster features several young players poised for larger roles, including rookies and second-year players. Kasparas Jakucionis, drafted 20th overall in the 2025 NBA Draft, is seen as a promising playmaker who could help fill the void left by Herro’s injury. Jaime Jaquez Jr. and Kel’el Ware are also expected to take on increased responsibilities. The development of these young talents will be crucial for the Heat’s long-term outlook and their ability to remain competitive in a dynamic Eastern Conference.
Re-establishing Competitiveness
ESPN projects the Heat to finish with a 39-43 record, marking their fourth consecutive year in the play-in tournament and indicating little expected improvement. A persistent issue has been the team’s inability to close out games, with numerous losses coming after holding significant leads. With an aging Eastern Conference potentially opening up opportunities, Miami aims to leverage its coaching, young talent, and strategic additions like Powell to climb back into playoff contention. The team’s ability to find a consistent offensive identity and execute in crunch time will be paramount.
As Media Day and training camp commence, the Miami Heat face a critical juncture. The answers derived from Spoelstra and his staff’s deliberations will set the tone for a season defined by adaptation, development, and the quest to re-establish their place among the NBA’s elite.
